House Prediction
Model Margin
Ole Miss by 6.5
Home Win Probability
Ole Miss 67%
No market line posted for this game.
fitted_v1 · Sep 7, 2026
Line Movement
Hover a snapshot for details
O/U 55.5 → 55
Louisville Stuns Ole Miss in High-Scoring Week 1 Thriller
Ole Miss and Louisville combined for 79 points in a back-and-forth offensive showcase, with the Cardinals pulling off the upset despite playing on the road. Louisville covered the 6.5-point spread with a 38-41 victory that exceeded the 55-point over-under line.
The third quarter proved decisive, featuring several explosive plays from both offenses. Trinidad Chambliss led Ole Miss through the air with 336 passing yards, including two 62-yard touchdown passes to Deuce Alexander. Louisville's Lincoln Kienholz orchestrated a potent offensive attack, connecting with Tre Richardson for 83 receiving yards and engineering a 62-yard touchdown to Richardson that included a two-point conversion pass to Lawayne McCoy.
The fourth quarter remained tightly contested, with Ole Miss mounting a strong response before Louisville secured the win. The game featured 36 lead changes, reflecting the competitive nature of the Week 1 matchup. Louisville's defense made critical plays throughout, while Ole Miss kept the game within reach despite the final deficit. Carson Hilbert's extra point conversions proved crucial in the Cardinals' upset victory.
AI-generated recap · Sep 12, 2026
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 38 | |
| 0 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 41 |
Scoring Timeline
Drive Chart
Box Score
| Statistic | Louisville | Ole Miss |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | 18-29 | 21-37 |
| Pass Yards | 307 | 336 |
| Rush Yards | 162 | 152 |
| Total Yards | 469 | 488 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 2 |
| 3rd Down | 7-16 | 6-16 |
| Penalties | 9-82 | 6-60 |
| Possession | 30:58 | 29:02 |

