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← Back to GamesSep 6, 2026 • Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ole Miss by 6.5

Home Win Probability

Ole Miss 67%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 7, 2026

Line Movement

-6.5-6.6-6.8-6.9-7Aug 31Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3Sep 4Model -6.5

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BovadaDraftKings

O/U 55.5 → 55

Louisville Stuns Ole Miss in High-Scoring Week 1 Thriller

Ole Miss and Louisville combined for 79 points in a back-and-forth offensive showcase, with the Cardinals pulling off the upset despite playing on the road. Louisville covered the 6.5-point spread with a 38-41 victory that exceeded the 55-point over-under line.

The third quarter proved decisive, featuring several explosive plays from both offenses. Trinidad Chambliss led Ole Miss through the air with 336 passing yards, including two 62-yard touchdown passes to Deuce Alexander. Louisville's Lincoln Kienholz orchestrated a potent offensive attack, connecting with Tre Richardson for 83 receiving yards and engineering a 62-yard touchdown to Richardson that included a two-point conversion pass to Lawayne McCoy.

The fourth quarter remained tightly contested, with Ole Miss mounting a strong response before Louisville secured the win. The game featured 36 lead changes, reflecting the competitive nature of the Week 1 matchup. Louisville's defense made critical plays throughout, while Ole Miss kept the game within reach despite the final deficit. Carson Hilbert's extra point conversions proved crucial in the Cardinals' upset victory.

AI-generated recap · Sep 12, 2026

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisvilleLouisville
33181438
Ole MissOle Miss
010141741

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-33-310-310-1317-1317-1631-2438-2438-3141-38
Ole MissLouisville

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OMLOUOMLOUOMLOUOMLOUOMLOUOMLOULOULOUOMLOUOMLOUOMLOUOMLOUOMLOUOMLOUOMPUNT3p·-12ydFG10p·47ydTO7p·35ydPUNT3p·20ydFG11p·60ydTO7p·-13ydTD4p·12ydPUNT3p·-12ydTO3p·2ydPUNT3p·-1ydMISS14p·51ydFG8p·42ydEND2p·9ydTD9p·77ydTD5p·62ydPUNT4p·20ydPUNT5p·6ydFG6p·51ydTD3p·75ydTD2p·23ydTD6p·75ydPUNT3p·-14ydTD9p·54ydTD6p·35ydPUNT3p·6ydTD7p·77ydFG8p·40yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisville and Ole Miss
StatisticLouisvilleOle Miss
Passing18-2921-37
Pass Yards307336
Rush Yards162152
Total Yards469488
Turnovers02
3rd Down7-166-16
Penalties9-826-60
Possession30:5829:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisville
passing
Lincoln Kienholz
18/29, 307 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Lincoln Kienholz
14 CAR, 69 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tre Richardson
4 REC, 83 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Ole Miss
passing
Trinidad Chambliss
21/36, 336 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kewan Lacy
17 CAR, 61 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Deuce Alexander
5 REC, 159 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Jaylon Braxton
0.5 TFL, 1 PD